Investment Insights Podcast – April 17, 2014

Bill MillerBill Miller, Chief Investment Officer

On this week’s podcast (recorded April 16, 2014):

Click the play icon below to launch the audio recording.

What we like: Strong stock market last year with $5.6 trillion added to shareholder wealth

4.17.14_chart

What we don’t like: Blowout tax-collection season as a result of this wealth creation; tax burden reaching into the middle class demographic

4.17.14_chart_3

What we are doing about it: Expect more demand for municipals

Click the play icon below to launch the audio recording.

Source: Strategas Research Partners, Policy Outlook, April 16, 2014

The views expressed are those of Brinker Capital and are not inteded as investment advice or recommendation. For informational purposes only. Holdings are subject to change.

Investment Insights Podcast – April 9, 2014

Bill MillerBill Miller, Chief Investment Officer

On this week’s podcast (recorded April 8, 2014):

Click the play icon below to launch the audio recording.

  • What we like: When companies buy shares, decreasing supply of stock in the market; Underlying fundamentals in economy are strong

Pages from JDT_APR2014-4

  • What we don’t like: When companies do too many initial public offerings, the supply in the marketplace dilutes the buying power of demand in the short-term setting the stage for a correction; IPO calendar is heavy

Pages from JDT_APR2014-3

  • What we are doing about it: Watching the IPO calendar carefully; intersection of the seasonal factors–slower summer months; Looking for a strong third and fourth quarter market

Pages from JDT_APR2014-2

Click the play icon below to launch the audio recording.

Charts Source: Strategas Research Partners, Investment Strategy Outlook, April 2014

The views expressed are those of Brinker Capital and are for informational purposes only. Holdings are subject to change.

Investment Insights Podcast – April 1, 2014

Bill MillerBill Miller, Chief Investment Officer

On this week’s podcast (recorded March 31, 2014):

  • What we like: CBS’s “60 Minutes” segment on high-frequency trading; traders may have an unfair advantage on trade execution, so regulators looking into it
  • What we don’t like: Inflammatory aspect of segment saying all of Wall Street is rigged, but that isn’t the case; millisecond in time in trade execution doesn’t impact all types of investing; even with high-frequency traders, today we’re trading cheaper, better, and faster
  • What we are doing about it: Spread trades across custodians, brokers, etc.; try not to limit our trades to any one, specific entity; pleased with our order execution, but look forward to regulators taking a hard look at high-frequency traders

Click the play icon below to launch the audio recording.

The views expressed are those of Brinker Capital and are for informational purposes only. Holdings are subject to change.

Investment Insights Podcast – March 13, 2014

Bill MillerBill Miller, Chief Investment Officer

On this week’s podcast (recorded March 11, 2014):

  • What we like: Middle of business cycle; increasing amount of deals in the markets; John Maynard Keynes’ “animal spirits” influencing economists’ foresight for pick up in spring and summer; earning estimates for first quarter too low – good news; out of the woods with Fed tapering
  • What we don’t like: Uniform belief that it is all good news; consensus view means meeting numbers is not enough
  • What we are doing about it: Some rebalancing; watchful that the consensus opinion is not so well-believed.

Click the play icon below to launch the audio recording.

The views expressed are those of Brinker Capital and are for informational purposes only. Holdings are subject to change.

Investment Insights Podcast – February 28, 2014

Bill MillerBill Miller, Chief Investment Officer

On this week’s podcast (recorded February 27, 2014) we are back to the traditional format of what we like, what we don’t like, and what we’re doing about it:

  • What we like: ISI Homebuilding Survey surged this week, increasing odds that the overall economy will improve as the cold weather improves
  • What we don’t like: Investors don’t know if the recent slowdown is due to the cold weather or if there’s something greater at work beyond that
  • What we are doing about it: No major changes; view remains that markets will grind upwards all year long

Click the play icon below to launch the audio recording.

The views expressed are those of Brinker Capital and are for informational purposes only. Holdings are subject to change.

Investment Insights Podcast – February 24, 2014

Investment Insights PodcastBill Miller, Chief Investment Officer

On this week’s podcast (recorded February 20, 2014), we deviate from the traditional what we like, we don’t like, and what we’re doing about it format.

We currently find ourselves in an environment with remarkably stable prices as measured by inflation. A period that matches some of the same sentiments echoed by Warren Buffet in his 1980 Berkshire Hathaway annual report.

Often we hear bad things about emerging markets, Congress, Fed policy, etc., but we may be missing the forest for the trees. The 1970s, a period when prices were rising quickly and investors struggled to keep pace, offers an interesting perspective on today’s environment.

Click the play icon below to launch the audio recording.

The views expressed are those of Brinker Capital and are for informational purposes only. Holdings are subject to change.

Investment Insights Podcast – February 12, 2014

Investment Insights PodcastBill Miller, Chief Investment Officer

On this week’s podcast (recorded February 11, 2014, prior to Janet Yellen’s first public statements since being sworn in):

  • What we like: Emerging markets have quieted down; Improvement in the equity markets around the world, including the U.S.
  • What we don’t like: Questions on how fast the global economies are growing
  • What we are doing about it: We are hedged, but looking to remove hedges; tactical approach to Janet Yellen’s comments

Click the play icon below to launch the audio recording.

The views expressed are those of Brinker Capital and are for informational purposes only. Holdings are subject to change.

Investment Insights Podcast – February 7, 2014

Investment Insights PodcastBill Miller, Chief Investment Officer

On this week’s podcast (recorded February 6, 2014):

  • What we like: Stability in emerging market currencies; European Central Bank fighting deflation
  • What we don’t like: Hypersensitivity to growth metrics
  • What we are doing about it: Letting natural hedging between asset classes manage volatility; remaining neutral in other portfolios; looking for a good employment number

Click the play icon below to launch the audio recording.

The views expressed are those of Brinker Capital and are for informational purposes only. Holdings are subject to change.

Investment Insights Podcast – January 31, 2014

Investment Insights PodcastBill Miller, Chief Investment Officer

On this week’s podcast (recorded January 30, 2014):

  • What we like: Acceleration in the sales for companies; Pick-up in housing survey data; States building surplus; Global synchronized recovery.
  • What we don’t like: Emerging markets uncertainty; Investor sentiment too high
  • What we are doing about it: Hedging appropriately in tactical and strategic portfolios; Hedging against emerging market risks; Underlying currents strong.

Click the play icon below to launch the audio recording.

The views expressed are those of Brinker Capital and are for informational purposes only. Holdings are subject to change.

Investment Insights Podcast – January 24, 2014

Investment Insights PodcastBill Miller, Chief Investment Officer

On this week’s podcast (recorded January 23, 2014):

  • What we like: Strong manufacturing data out of Europe; Global synchronized recovery.
  • What we don’t like: High-sentiment indicators; global markets fairly valued, but need to see faster growth to drive equity prices higher; China slowing
  • What we are doing about it: Minor hedging in some portfolios; buying in the U.S. and European markets; looking at underlying global synchronized recovery as powerful force.

Click the play icon below to launch the audio recording.

The views expressed are those of Brinker Capital and are for informational purposes only. Holdings are subject to change.